Why Loreli
Prediction markets turn questions about the future into prices. Reading those prices well — and knowing when they're wrong — takes research, tools and other people to argue with.
What it is
Loreli is a research platform for prediction markets: live market discovery, a Strategy Lab that backtests simple rules on real price history, and a community where research is linked to the markets it discusses.
What it isn't
Loreli does not place trades, hold funds or give financial advice. Market data is read from Polymarket's public APIs. Backtests are evidence about the past, not promises about the future.
Where it's going
Toward a place where independent researchers can go from a first prediction to a published, reproducible strategy and, eventually, their own model — with transparent records rather than screenshots of wins.
Under the hood
Loreli is built on the same research infrastructure its team uses for market data collection and evaluation, with an emphasis on timestamp-safe testing and honest reporting.