Strategy Lab

Turn a hypothesis into evidence

Pick a market, choose a rule, and replay it against the market's recorded price history — with fees, slippage and no look-ahead.

1Market

2Strategy

Buy when the implied probability has risen by more than a threshold over a lookback window; exit when the move reverses or after a holding period.

3Parameters

Lookback (bars)7

Rise to trigger (pts)5

Max hold (bars)14

Historical period

Starting capital ($)

Position size (%)

Taker fee (%)

Slippage (pts)

Results come from Polymarket's recorded prices for the market you choose. Nothing is simulated or pre-computed.